The political and economic crisis in Bangladesh has been brewing for years, but last August’s regime change brought a flicker of optimism. Many believed it marked the beginning of a fresh start. However, the interim government, tasked with steering the nation during this crucial phase, has fumbled the ball. Its inability to address deep-rooted issues has only amplified the crises, leaving every political party frustrated—except Jamat, which seems to be the only one enjoying the chaos. From a political science perspective, the failure of this government seems inevitable. After all, how can an administration without a political foundation or process succeed in leading a system inherently designed for political leadership? It’s like asking an airport cleaner to fly a passenger-filled airbus or boeing—disastrous by design.
Adding to the drama is Bangladesh’s unique political calendar, dictated as much by religion and culture as by governance. Agitating the public during Ramadan, through Eid ul Fitr and Eid ul Adha, is a near-impossible feat. These three months are sacred not just spiritually but economically, as people immerse themselves in earning, spending, and celebrating. Religious devotion and festival-driven economic transactions take precedence, leaving little room for political unrest. Any movement attempting to gather steam during this time is likely to fizzle out, no matter how pressing the issues are.
Looking ahead, the interim government finds itself on a ticking clock. February looms as the month when the brewing political crisis could boil over. If they can manage to douse the flames until Eid ul Adha, they might just extend their survival. But what happens after the festival season ends is anyone’s guess—though the BNP likely has a plan (or at least a prediction). For now, the "intern government" must brace itself for what seems to be an inevitable storm, one they might not be equipped to weather.